NBA DFS (Wednesday, April 6): Choosing the best models and valuable games on DraftKings and FanDuel

NBA player models are the source of life for our NBA product. They contain our predictions for each player, but this is just the beginning of what you will find inside. You will also find our Trends tool and more.

Let’s dive into our models, sorting out positions by positions, looking at guys with some of the highest ceiling projections, as well as players who stand out as values ​​using our projected Predictable Plus / Minus metric.

Also, don’t forget that for big tournaments you can use our line optimizer to effortlessly create up to 150 schedules, or use our schedule designer if you like to create your teams manually.

Note: Forecasts and rating levers / ratings are subject to change during the day following the publication of this article. Consult player models directly for updates.


Top Ceiling: Detroit Pistons’ Luka Doncic – $ 12,000 DraftKings, $ 11,200 FanDuel

Luke has been lovely all year, but he closes the season on heating. He scored at least 30 points in five straight games, and over that period he averaged 33.8 points, 10.2 assists, 9.2 rebounds, 3.6 threes and 1.6 shares, which is good for 61.3 fantasy points (63.3 on the road).

Today’s match with the Pistons gives Doncic a huge differential of pace and opponent plus / minus. Despite nine points in favor of Dallas, the Pistons are the best team against the spread after the break at All-Star Game and they need to remain competitive. Doncic went on 33/11/7 with two blocks and an interception in his only other meeting with Detroit this season.

Top value: Ish Smith at the Atlanta Hawks – $ 4,800 DraftKings, $ 4,400 FanDuel

Smith scored 11 points, 14 cents and eight boards in an unexpected win over the Timberwolves on Tuesday, teasing the triple-double and setting the season’s highest assist.

Over the past four years, Smith has averaged 11.5 points, 8.8 cents, 3.8 boards, 1.8 threes and 1.0 interceptions, playing more than 27 minutes per game. In these competitions, he scored better than 32 fantastic points per game. Today’s match with the “Hawks” offers a favorable defensive match with a dim defense of Atlanta and the highest score on the list / 232.


Top Ceiling: Donavan Mitchell vs. Oklahoma City Thunder – $ 8,500 DraftKings, $ 8,300 FanDuel

It is unclear with whom the Thunder will start against Jazz tonight, but based on yesterday’s starting five, it should be an easy walk for Spida. Oklahoma City has exposed Zavier Simpson, Georgios Kalaitsakis, Vita Kreichi, Jaylen Hoard and Isaiah Robbie in such a vulgar demonstration that the 2015-16 Process has fallen ill.

Mitchell has averaged better than 40 fantasy points in the last 10 competitions, and he posted 24 points, 10 assists and four boards when he faced the Thunder a month ago. The prices are ridiculous, so take advantage of a massive plus / minus opponent and a tempo differential.

Top value: Ayo Dosunmu vs. Boston Celtics – $ 3,900 DraftKings, $ 3,600 FanDuel

Dosunmu’s high-performance segment in January / February is in the background, but it is still a start that plays at least 30 minutes a night. It will be difficult for you to find such a player for less than 4 thousand dollars. In the last two competitions, Dosunmu has averaged more than 20 fantasy points, and if Zach LaVin misses the second contest in a row, Dosunmu’s prognosis is even better.

Note: Dosunmu is eligible to participate in PG on DraftKings and SG on FanDuel.

Small forward

Top Ceiling: Kevin Durant at the New York Knicks – $ 11,300 DraftKings, $ 11,500 FanDuel

NBA fans need to prepare popcorn for today’s city competition in which Kevin Durant will play at Madison Square Garden. This is a place for Brooklyn with a slowdown, but a solid opponent with a plus / minus against the Knicks, which this season is almost not scored.

Durant is third for all time in points per game against the Knicks with a score of 29.5, and he has scored against them 53 and 27 in the two previous meetings this season. If you want to spend money on a star today, Durant is a great choice.

Top value: Utah Jazz’s Jaylen Howard – $ 5,000 DraftKings, $ 4,500 FanDuel

The third-year-old from Wake Forest has certainly made the most of his playing time lately. He scored 24 points and 21 rebounds in last night’s win over the Blazers and averaged 17.5 points, 20.5 rebounds, 3.0 assists, 2.5 shares and 1.0 triples in two starts. Fantasy managers need to pay close attention to starting lineups, and if Hoard starts again, fantasy executives need to pay attention.

Power Forward

Top Ceiling: Jason Tatum at the Chicago Bulls – $ 10,100 DraftKings, $ 9,400 FanDuel

Tatum is likely tonight, but the Celtics are playing a mutual set on Wednesday and Thursday, so keep an eye on his status before the match.

In March, Tatum averaged 32.8 points, 6.6 rebounds, 4.9 assists and 4.2 three-pointers. In those 13 games, he scored at least 50 fantasy points six times. It has a 94% favorable rating on FanDuel and gets a positive opponent plus / minus with a solid tempo differential.

Top value: Obi Topin vs. Brooklyn Nets – $ 5,600 DraftKings, $ 5,500 FanDuel

Abi Toppin does not stop? He is still very affordable with his current salary on both sites and he comes to this with two consecutive games of 20 points behind his belt. In his last six starts, Topin averaged 17.0 points, 7.3 rebounds, 3.7 assists, 1.7 threes and 1.4 shares, which is good for 34.1 fantasy points. Today’s meeting with the Nets gives Toppin a strong opponent plus / minus and a tempo differential.


Top Ceiling: Rudy Robert vs. Oklahoma City Thunder – $ 7,900 DraftKings, $ 8,800 FanDuel

Hubert grabbed at least 20 boards in two in a row and published his first game 20/20 of the season on Wednesday against the Grizzlies. Today’s meeting with the small and active Oklahoma City tank team should be a boon for the NBA’s leading pick-up.

Not surprisingly, Gober has played several grand games against the Thunder this season, averaging 14.3 points, 18.3 rebounds and 2.3 blocks in the previous three matches. It gets a great plus / minus opponent and a tempo differential and comes at a very affordable price, especially on DraftKings.

Top value: Hassan Whiteside v. Oklahoma City – $ 3,600 DraftKings, $ 3,900 FanDuel

One jazz center is great, but why not make it twice as enjoyable? Whiteside is one of the best fantasy players this season and he just put up 14/10 and four blocks against the Grizzlies in 18 minutes on Wednesday.

Utah prefers 16.5 tonight, and the blast means Whiteside will get more minutes on the stretch. At such a low price, he deserves to participate in tournaments on FanDuel and DraftKings.

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