Election Masters 2022, odds: expert predictions, favorites to win from the betting field in Augusta National

Due to the rapid approach of the 86th Masters, the key question that everyone is asking the same thing around the world is golf: who do you choose to win at Augusta National? With a huge field featuring most of the world’s best professionals and a few of the world’s best amateurs, the first major of 2022 is set to be an epic first-round trip on Thursday.

This year’s Masters are just as wide open as recently. This time there is no favorite with unambiguous numbers, and no one has become so on player to win over 72 holes. The two hottest players in the world – Cameron Smith and Scotty Scheffler – are both good choices, but are not considered favorites in the heavyweight division in August. Conversely, many of the world’s top stars have not won so far in 2022, and some have a tricky history with this course.

Then there is the mystery of Tiger Woods. What do you do with a five-time Masters winner who hasn’t played at an official event in 17 months but can know a golf course better than anyone who has ever played it? Woods noted that he is indeed going to hold it on Thursday morning with Luis Ostheisen and Joaquin Niemann, and the potential outcomes for him could be wider than for anyone else in the field.

Put it all together, and it seems that a wild week of Masters awaits us, full of unexpected twists and turns, but also a lot of familiar names at the top of the leaderboard.

So what will happen this week in August? Let’s take a look at the full set of predictions and choices of our CBS Sports experts as we try to predict who will win – and what will happen – the world’s most prestigious golf tournament. Check out the full set of Masters 2022 odds provided by Caesars Sportsbook.

2022 Masters Expert Elections, Forecasts

Kyle Porter, a writer about golf

Winner – Justin Thomas (12-1): I have some conflicting feelings about JT in Augusta National where he clearly throws the ball badly. However, in the weeks leading up to this, it felt (and looked statistically) as if he was heading for a massive victory. The same could be said in the first few rounds of the Masters last year, before 8 on par-5 of the 13th led to 75 and deprived him of a chance to win. Sometimes his management can be wayward, so a lot is always a concern, but if this week the weather gets a little tricky – and it can – Thomas proved at the Players’ Championship that he probably has more games than anyone . before that.

Sleep – Xi Wu Kim (65-1): There are a few things I like about Kim this week. First, he has shown a tendency to win mass competitions before (he dominated the players of 2017), and secondly, he is extremely restrained playing in the Augusta National. Kim has made four sharp runs here in a row, including three top-25s and a full-fledged T12 in 2021 when he put his 3-tree on part of the tournament. There are several players with a score of 50-1 or more (including Adam Scott and Russell Henley), but Kim is my favorite.

Top 10 Castles – Brooks Koepka: Koepka likes a lot this week. He has played golf well (three top 20 in the last four starts). He would seem to be as healthy as he has been for a long time (certainly healthier than last year when he climbed the mountain at № 13 after a knee problem). And, of course, the fact that he’s just destroying in the major championships out of the 12 (twelve!) Top 10 in his last 16, starts with the four biggest events.

The star who will definitely not win – Rory McIlroy: It hurts me to say this, but McIlroy has struggled with his irons more than anyone who wants to win the August National should have. His record in the top 10 at this event is stunning (no one has had more than six in the last 10 years), but he still needs to properly do what he called earlier this week as a “negative” game plan. where he plays away from trouble, takes full advantage of 5 pairs and beats everything high. I’d love to see it happen this week, but even last week at the Texas Open he struggled with distance control, which didn’t cause a ton of optimism.

Predicting the Surprise – Tiger Woods makes the cut: Perhaps it would have been more amazing three weeks or two months ago than after seeing how healthy and fit Woods looked earlier in the week. However, it should still be quite surprising if someone who nearly lost a leg 14 months ago plays on a weekend at the world’s most prestigious golf tournament.

Lowest round: 65 (-7)
Winning number: 275 (-13)
Number of winners on Sunday: 69 (-3)


Chip Patterson, writer

Winner – Xander Schaufele (20-1): If he stays true to his form, Schaufel will be at least in the mix to win, and if you constantly make yourself within a few throws ahead, the odds are conducive to the fact that the tournament will eventually break down. Schauffel’s last two starts in August in April were T2 and T3, last year near Hideki Matsuyama, in part because his three-pointer hit was on the 16th par-3. He can play well on this course and I expect him to do so based on the latest form and it is very important for a player with a high floor to perform in this tournament.

Sleep – Kevin Kisner (100-1): It is not a big surprise to see how Kisner showed himself in the match. The WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play was the venue for three of Kissner’s top five finishes (one win, two runners-up), but other results this year intrigued me with his chances. He started the year with a simultaneous top 10 in Hawaii and then a couple of weeks up and down re-emerged as a contender for The Players, where he finished solo fourth. The competition here, admittedly, would have been a big leap over his Masters finishes (two missed Kurts and none in the top 20 in six starts), but Aiken, South Carolina, a native and former golfer from the Georgia Bulldogs can quickly become a favorite if he works together a couple of good rounds.

Top 10 Castle – John Ram: No betting favorite won the Masters after Tiger in 2005, but that doesn’t mean we shouldn’t be in line with Ram as the most reliable bet to finish at the top of the leaderboard. In his last four starts at the Masters he has been in the top 10 four times, and earlier this year he went on a run that included three finishes in the top 10 in four starts. The consistency with Ram is so strong that even if he has one horrible round, you still have a chance to get into the top 10 by dropping early in the morning on the weekend.

The star who will definitely not win – Dustin Johnson: The 2020 Masters champion returned to ownership five months later and missed the cuts in 2021, and it was the first of five missed cuts in the last 20 starts. I don’t expect the DJ to miss the plot again, but since last year he has been a star who has been good but not great. In fact, winning the Masters usually requires perfection, and if a DJ can take advantage of that, it will be a twist of form based on the latest results.

Surprise prediction – Tony Finau finished in the top 10: Why the weird prediction that someone with three finishes in the top 10 in the last four Masters starts could do it again? Well, if you haven’t ended up in Big Tone recently, things are moving in the wrong direction. In the nine starts since early 2022, Finn has only finished in the top 20 once (T19 in Hawaii in early January) and missed three times. His world rankings peaked at 9 after defeating Cam Smith in the playoffs at the Northern Trust last August, but has since dropped to No. 22. My unexpected prediction is a special place – where he put his ankle back in place and shot a 68 the next day in 2018 – brings a special performance from Finau.

Lowest round: 63 (-9)
Winning number: 275 (-13)
Sunday winner’s score: 69 (-3)

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Kyle Boone, writer

Winner – Colin Morikov (20-1): The two-time major champion, who is still 25 years old, is one of the best and most stable strikers in golf. What do you dislike here, especially at 20-1? His teaching has also improved significantly and he is one of the best in the PGA Tour. Completing the third stage of the Grand Slam tournament in his career at his age would have put him in thin air.

Sleeper – Tiger Woods (50-1): It’s been over a year since Tiger played in a real event, so I wouldn’t have cleared my bank account here just because Woods ’chances of winning the Masters are so great. He can easily return home on Saturday. But … it’s Tiger … 50-1. And, apparently, in training he looked sharp. There are probably worse, less interesting ways to bet money than on GOATS

Top 10 Castle – Jordan Spit: With two finishes in the top three in his last four appearances at the Masters and five in his career, Spit is almost always in the mix at Augusta National, never missing a cut. Several of his recent events have prevented him this year, but Spieth at Augusta National – this is Spieth at Augusta National – he has to be on the hunt to the end.

The star who will definitely not win – Rory McIlroy: Rory’s trajectory at Augusta National and a recent game this season suggests he may be in the thick of events this weekend, which is sometimes exactly where he tends to weaken. Physically few are as gifted as he is and able to take the course, but he has never cracked the Masters code, and this week he doesn’t feel like a place like him.

Surprise prediction – Tiger finished in the top 25: Yes, yes, I know he hasn’t played in the PGA Tour in over a year. And the transition from training and practical rounds to four days of polishing in August is quite a job. But before, Tiger proved that those who doubt are wrong, and I really don’t think he would rush back to the biggest golf scene just to make some grandiose look to prove he’s healthy. I think he wants to prove that he and his game are in a healthy place.

Lowest round: 65 (-7)
Winning number: 277 (-10)
Number of winners on Sunday: 67 (-5)

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